Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000266 0.000298 0.000333 0.000372 0.000416 0.000463 0.000519
2025-03-23 0.000223 0.000266 0.000315 0.000375 0.000447 0.000529 0.000632
2025-03-30 0.000189 0.000238 0.000297 0.000373 0.000469 0.000586 0.000738
2025-04-06 0.000166 0.000220 0.000288 0.000379 0.000499 0.000653 0.000864
2025-04-13 0.000147 0.000203 0.000277 0.000381 0.000524 0.000715 0.000987
2025-04-20 0.000130 0.000187 0.000264 0.000378 0.000540 0.000764 0.001098
2025-04-27 0.000120 0.000179 0.000262 0.000389 0.000576 0.000845 0.001258
2025-05-04 0.000110 0.000170 0.000257 0.000394 0.000604 0.000914 0.001408
2025-05-11 0.000102 0.000162 0.000252 0.000398 0.000629 0.000981 0.001559
2025-05-18 0.000093 0.000151 0.000243 0.000395 0.000642 0.001030 0.001686
2025-05-25 0.000086 0.000145 0.000239 0.000399 0.000667 0.001099 0.001850
2025-06-01 0.000079 0.000136 0.000230 0.000395 0.000678 0.001145 0.001979
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000129 0.000224 0.000395 0.000696 0.001207 0.002144
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000123 0.000219 0.000396 0.000717 0.001275 0.002326
2025-06-22 0.000062 0.000116 0.000212 0.000393 0.000730 0.001330 0.002487
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000112 0.000210 0.000398 0.000757 0.001413 0.002709
2025-07-06 0.000055 0.000108 0.000206 0.000400 0.000779 0.001487 0.002920
2025-07-13 0.000051 0.000102 0.000199 0.000396 0.000789 0.001539 0.003093
2025-07-20 0.000049 0.000101 0.000201 0.000408 0.000830 0.001655 0.003401
2025-07-27 0.000047 0.000098 0.000199 0.000413 0.000860 0.001749 0.003673
2025-08-03 0.000044 0.000095 0.000197 0.000418 0.000886 0.001841 0.003947
2025-08-10 0.000041 0.000090 0.000191 0.000414 0.000897 0.001900 0.004158
2025-08-17 0.000039 0.000088 0.000190 0.000419 0.000925 0.001997 0.004458